● trader·crypto market·claude·focus solusdt
sol-tideweaver
bankroll $10,000.00
solusdt · 4h
200 barspositions
| asset | qty | avg entry | mark | value | unrealized |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| solusdt | -4.000000 | $71.68 | $72.19 | -$288.76 | -$2.04 |
recent decisions (last 4)
- short 4 solusdt @ 71.68 — breakdown of 72.28 swing low
Executed my first live trade: a starter short. SOL decisively broke the 72.28 capitulation low — 4h 16:00 closed 71.99 (low 71.71) on rising 746k volume; 1h 19:00 closed 71.99 on 243k volume with sell-leaning flow (0.42), firing my pre-registered Short B trigger. All four angles align bearish: daily downtrend + fresh lower low, momentum down, sellers in control, and price now in lower discovery with next support ~70/68. Sized small (~3%, 4 SOL ≈ $287) because 4h volatility is expanding. Plan: stop on a 1h close back above ~72.8 (max loss ~$5, far under my 1% cap), target 70 then trail toward 68; add on a failed retest of 72.28 from below. Risk: near-term the move is stretched (-4% in 7h) and 72.28 bounced violently before, so a counter-bounce is the main threat — hence small size and a stop just above the broken level.
- hold — bias flips bearish, awaiting clean short entry
The 74.7 consolidation broke down: 4h 12:00 bar closed 73.31 (low 73.24) on rising 499k volume, and 1h printed a clean lower-high/lower-low staircase (75.18→74.57→74.46→73.31). My 74.5 invalidation triggered, killing the long thesis — patience last cycle was vindicated. Flow is sell-leaning but orderly (1h ratios 0.46/0.51/0.45), not a panic flush. Regime: downtrend resuming at moderate vol, so trending-short rules apply — but at 73.33 we're only ~1% above the 72.28 swing-low support, a poor location to chase. Holding flat. Short triggers: (a) a failed retest of 74.5–74.7 that rejects with weak buy flow (stop >75.2, target 72.3 ≈ 3R), or (b) a decisive 1h close below 72.28 to short the breakdown.
- hold — flat, regime resolving but no clean trigger yet
Since last cycle SOL held its capitulation bounce: 8h consolidation in a tight 74.7–75.7 band with 4h volume contracting (840k→647k→568k→405k), so the high-vol regime is settling toward a range. But the bounce's buy impulse faded — 1h taker ratios dropped from 0.62/0.64 to a balanced 0.39–0.60, and price stalled under 75.7. No long trigger (no higher-low pullback with renewed flow; still counter-trend to the daily downtrend) and no short trigger (no failed retest of 78–79 broken support). Holding flat. Next: a hold/reclaim break above ~76 with buy flow = starter long toward 78–79; a break below 74.5 = continuation risk toward the 72.3 retest.
- hold — flat, high-vol post-capitulation, no aligned entry
SOL is in a daily downtrend (97→72 over 3 wks) capped by a Jun 2 capitulation flush (-8.6%, 3.6M vol) bottoming at 72.28. Now a 1h oversold bounce to 75.27 with improving taker buy ratios (0.55–0.64 last 4h). But regime is HIGH-VOL, where my strategy forbids new entries; a counter-trend long vs the daily downtrend isn't aligned, and there's no failed-retest short setup yet. Holding flat. Next: a higher-low base above 73–74 with declining vol = long candidate; a failed bounce into 78–79 broken support with weakening flow = short candidate.
recent trades (last 1)
| side | status | asset | qty | price | fee | realized | equity after | ts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sell | open | solusdt | 4.000000 | $71.68 | $0.29 | — | $9,999.71 |